2017年12月,缓慢稳定增长:2018年前四名商业地产部门业绩预测

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https://www.forbes.com/sites/bisnow/2018/01/09/slow-and-steady-growth-2018-performance-forecast-for-top-4-commercial-real-estate-sectors/#51dcb02a42db

Following one of the longest economic expansions in U.S. history, Colliers International economists forecast 2017 was the year of the market’s peak.

There are several factors that indicate the cycle’s best years are in the past, Colliers International Chief Economist Andrew Nelson wrote in the company’s 2018 Outlook report, including slowing deal volume, eight consecutive months of declining commercial property prices, plateaued cap rates, a widening divide between seller asking prices and buyer bids and investors going in search of riskier assets for better returns.

Though the cycle is getting long in the tooth, the industry is expected to continue riding the waves of the strong economy to steady growth, albeit at a more moderate pace than years past.

高力国际(Colliers International)经济学家预计,在美国历史上经济规模最大的一次扩张之后,2017年是市场高峰的一年。

高力国际首席经济学家安德鲁•纳尔逊(Andrew Nelson)在该公司的2018年展望报告中写道,有几个因素可以说明这个周期最好的年份过去了,包括交易量下降,商业房地产价格连续八个月下滑,上限利率上涨, 卖方询问价格和买方出价,以及投资者为了获得更好的回报而寻找风险较高的资产。

尽管周期日益加长,预计行业仍将继续保持强劲的经济平稳增长势态,速度比过去较缓慢。

 

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