Dec. 2017, Slow And Steady Growth: 2018 Performance Forecast For Top 4 Commercial Real Estate Sectors

2017年12月,缓慢稳定增长:2018年前四名商业地产部门业绩预测

(传载 )

https://www.forbes.com/sites/bisnow/2018/01/09/slow-and-steady-growth-2018-performance-forecast-for-top-4-commercial-real-estate-sectors/#51dcb02a42db

Following one of the longest economic expansions in U.S. history, Colliers International economists forecast 2017 was the year of the market’s peak.

There are several factors that indicate the cycle’s best years are in the past, Colliers International Chief Economist Andrew Nelson wrote in the company’s 2018 Outlook report, including slowing deal volume, eight consecutive months of declining commercial property prices, plateaued cap rates, a widening divide between seller asking prices and buyer bids and investors going in search of riskier assets for better returns.

Though the cycle is getting long in the tooth, the industry is expected to continue riding the waves of the strong economy to steady growth, albeit at a more moderate pace than years past.

高力国际(Colliers International)经济学家预计,在美国历史上经济规模最大的一次扩张之后,2017年是市场高峰的一年。

高力国际首席经济学家安德鲁•纳尔逊(Andrew Nelson)在该公司的2018年展望报告中写道,有几个因素可以说明这个周期最好的年份过去了,包括交易量下降,商业房地产价格连续八个月下滑,上限利率上涨, 卖方询问价格和买方出价,以及投资者为了获得更好的回报而寻找风险较高的资产。

尽管周期日益加长,预计行业仍将继续保持强劲的经济平稳增长势态,速度比过去较缓慢。

Oct. 2017, The Future of Cities in Worldwide at Harvard Business School and Harvard Graduate School of Design

2017年10月,全球城市的未来

由哈佛商学院和哈佛大学设计研究院联合主办的讨论会。

未来的城市会是什么样子?当代城市化挑战将如何为下一代创新奠定基础?谁来引导投资和制度安排,解决蔓延,气候变化,社会空间不平等和技术变革等问题?该专题讨论会展示了一系列技术,基础设施和城市治理领域的专家,创新者和思想领袖。借鉴非洲,拉丁美洲,亚洲,欧洲和美国的经验,将就如何最好地解决以下事实分享他们的观点:至2050年,预计全世界70%以上的人口将居住在城市来自亚洲和非洲的近90%的增长。辩论将围绕强化的城市增长对城市定义的基本政治,经济和社会安排的影响以及新技术和基础设施在改变城市足迹和生活质量方面的作用。

                                     Patty Chen with Harriet Tregoning – former deputy assistant secretary of HUD.  美国住房和城市发展部计划和发展办公室前副助理秘书 Harriet Tregoning

    Harvard University President Drew Faust at the conversation about the future of cities.    哈佛大学校长Drew FaustLeft: Mohsen Mostafavi-Dean of Harvard Graduate School of Design.  Right: Diane Davis-Chair at DUPD of Harvard Graduate School of Design.    L:哈佛大学设计学院院长Mohsen Mostafavi; R: 哈佛大学设计学院城市设计系主席Diane Davis

Aug. 2017, Chinese Overseas Real Estate Buying Spree Slows by China’s Currency Caps

2017年8月, 海外房地产买卖因中国外汇货币限制涨势跌

(传载 )

http://www.sfchronicle.com/opinion/openforum/article/China-s-currency-caps-hurt-Chinese-home-buyers-12185951.php

https://www.forbes.com

The U.S. is the most popular destination for Chinese immigrants, students and corporate investment, which drives investment in property. Tighter capital controls and a slowing domesticChinese economy are making it harder for Chinese to buy property overseas.  The Chinese middle class, both in China and in the United States, stands to lose the most by China’s newly imposed currency restrictions. The group most affected may be the many Chinese buyers who already live and work in the United States and rely on money from China to purchase a home.

美国是中国移民,学生和企业投资最受欢迎的旅游目的地,及推动物业投资。 资本管制,和国内经济放缓,使得中国人在海外购买房产变得更难。中国的中产阶级在中国和美国,都受到中国新实施的货币限制损失最大。 最受影响的群体可能是许多在美国生活和工作的中国买家并且依靠中国的钱购买家庭的群体。

June 2017, Harvard University is the Place for Training Happy Citizen Leaders

2017年6月, 哈佛大学-培养快乐公民领袖之地

Patty Chen with Harvard College Dean- Rakesh Khurana 陈艺平与 哈佛大学本科学院院长Rakesh Khurana

 

 With Harvard University Admissions Dean – William Fitzsimmons  与哈佛大学招生院长William Fitzsimmons

with Harvard Medical School professor -Sanjiv Chopra  at his Happiness Seminar  与哈佛医学院教授­ Sanjiv Chopra在他的幸福研讨会上.

May 2017, Welcome Hurun Report’s President-Sinclair Lyu Coming to Our Company Again

20175, 欢迎胡润报告总裁-吕能幸再次来到我们公司

             Patty Chen with Sinclair Lyu 陈艺平与 吕能幸

April 2017, Harvard China Forum 2017-Sharing the Road Ahead

Featured  over 100 speakers including Hank Paulson, Stephen Orlins, Lei Jun, Mark Cuban, Arianna Huffington, Pan Shiyi, Guo Guangchang, Cho Tak Wong, Yan Geling and  800 attendees participanted in stimulating dialogues on opportunities and challenges facing US and China.

 20174, 哈佛中国论坛 2017- 共享未来之路

超过100位演讲嘉宾,包括汉克·保尔森,斯蒂芬·奥林斯,雷军,马克·库班,阿里安娜·赫芬顿, 潘石屹, 郭广昌, 曹德旺, 严歌苓 等与800位参加者对美国和中国的机遇与挑战对话。

  Patty Chen with Author and Scriptwriter at HCF 2017   陈艺平与作家严歌苓

Nov. 2016, China Shanghai Real Estate Development and Investment Company visited Boston again for Collabration of Investment in Residential and Commicial Buildings

2016年11月,中国上海房地产开发投资公司再次联系本公司来波士顿考察合作投资项目,包括波士顿高档公寓楼,商业民用楼,和剑桥市商业大楼。

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Sep. 2016, Chinese Real Estate Buyers Are Shifting Preferences

Chinese Real Estate Buyers Are Shifting Preferences

2016年9月中国房地产需求者正在改变选项

Over the past few years Chinese investors have targeted major coastal cities such as San Francisco and New York City, but an article in Housingwire.com highlights a change in preferences due to these markets failing to produce significant returns.

Now a second wave of investors from China has begun to alter their investment strategy. Thanks to greater access to information and data, these investors have discovered that assets with higher yields are to be found well away from these major cities. Originally, these primary and often prestigious markets had been targeted because they were often familiar vacation destinations, or investors already had friends or family living in these areas. Foreign investors looking to purchase in the cities were after property for vacation use, or that they could leave to their children or simply as a safe haven from the Chinese economy.

July 2016, Study Finds Chinese investors have spent $300 billion on US property

Chinese investment in the U.S. real estate market has surpassed $300 billion and is growing despite China’s economic weakness and increased currency control.

http://www.cnbc.com/2016/05/16/chinese-investors-have-spent-300-billion-on-us-property-mbs-rosen-study-finds.html By CNBC

2016年7月, 研究发现中国投资者已经花费$3000亿在美国房地产

转载CNBC

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May 2016, New study says Chinese buyers will spend $218 billion despite Beijing’s attempts to control capital outflows.

Chinese U.S. Real Estate Demand Tip of the Iceberg

ByABBY SCHULTZ in BARRON’S
http://www.barrons.com/articles/chinese-u-s-real-estate-demand-tip-of-the-iceberg-1463706667

2016年5月, 中国人对美国房地产的需求只是冰山一尖

转载巴伦周刊By ABBY SCHULTZ

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Nov. 2015, Chinese buy houses in the United States to ask 20 questions

2015 年11月,中国人美国买房20问

转载圣路易时报.  来源: 侨报网综合

buy house

 

全美房地产经纪人协会的一份报告称,中国人现在是美国房地产遥遥领先的最大外国买家,无论以数量、美元销售额还是交易价格衡量都是如此。在截至今年 3月底的12个月里,中国买家在美国支出286亿美元(主要用于购买住宅物业),同比增加30%,而且是第二大外国买家群体——加拿大人支出金额的2.5 倍多。

Sep. 2015, McKinsey Global Survey results: Economic Conditions Snapshot

2015 年9月, 麦肯锡全球调查:经济状况快报

( 转摘)

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http://www.mckinsey.com/insights/economic_studies/economic_conditions_snapshot_september_2015_mckinsey_global_survey_results

Executives’ views deteriorate amid rising concerns over volatility and expectations for only modest growth in China. (McKinsey Company)

Augest 26th. 2015, The Boston Globe Interviewed Patty Chen on how Chinese economic turmoil could boost Boston real estate

https://www.bostonglobe.com/business/2015/08/25/chinese-turmoil-could-boost-boston-real-estate-for-now/Fm9d7LUBtwcusH7Z34t9YM/story.html

2015 年8月26日《波士顿环球报》再次报道陈艺平, 有关中国的股市动荡现在可能会提振波士顿地产. 作为其市场下滑,其经济走弱,而人民币汇率下降,许多人想知道,如果波士顿的房地产市场将受到影响 – 但短期内它可能会获利.

boston-globe

 

Boston Globe 082615    By Tim Logan GLOBE STAFF 

As its markets slide, its economy weakens, and its currency declines, many wonder if Boston’s real estate market will suffer — but short-term, it may gain.

 Patty Chen, a Wellesley entrepreneur who helps Chinese investors find houses in the Boston area, said she has seen some would-be buyers hold off this summer. “Some are nervous because of the stock crash,” Chen said. “I think we are in a ‘buffer period’ where Chinese just want to wait out the volatility.”

In the long term, Chen said, many of her clients see the United States as a safe haven. Bigger investors do, too…

https://www.bostonglobe.com/business/2015/08/25/chinese-turmoil-could-boost-boston-real-estate-for-now/Fm9d7LUBtwcusH7Z34t9YM/story.html

 

July 9th. 2015, The Nikkei Asian Review Interviewed and Reported on Patty Chen and PattyC Property Group

2015 年7月9日, 《日本経済新聞社》采访报道了总裁陈艺平(Patty Chen) 和本公司派蒂克房地产集团帮助中国新移民在美国购房和安居

http://asia.nikkei.com/Politics-Economy/International-Relations/Asian-immigrants-changing-US-economy-society?page=2

NIKK

Asian immigrants changing US economy, society

HIROYUKI KOTAKE, Nikkei Washington bureau chief

     There have been four waves of immigration to the U.S.: 1) Native Americans; 2) immigrants from Western and Northern Europe and slaves from Africa from the 16th century to the 19th century; 3) immigrants from Southern and Eastern Europe, the Middle East and the Caribbean in the 19th and 20th centuries; and 4) immigrants from Latin America and Asia after World War II.

The fourth wave has accelerated since 1965. President Lyndon Johnson eased restrictions on the number of immigrants to be accepted from each country, and as a result the number of immigrants from Latin America and Asia, which had been suppressed under stricter limits than those on people from Europe, started rising sharply. Their fertility rates are also generally high, which is helping drive the steady expansion of the U.S. population.

The lead player in the fourth wave is about to shift from Latinos to Asians. In 2013, the U.S. accepted a total of more than 1.2 million immigrants. The top spots were dominated by Asian countries, with 147,000 people from China and 129,000 from India, exceeding the 125,000 from Mexico. Immigrants from South Korea and the Philippines have also kept climbing. The recent trend underscores the fact that Asia, a region with a diverse mix of countries and huge populations, is gaining greater presence in the U.S.

Furthermore, diligent Asians earn high incomes and achieve high education. Statistics in 2013 showed that their median household income was $72,000 and people aged 25 or older who have a bachelor’s degree or higher stood at 51%, considerably higher than the U.S. national average of $52,000 and 30%. This is another reason that Asians are increasing their presence in the country.

 Patty Chen runs a real estate company in the suburbs of Boston, Massachusetts. “We not only arrange contracts to buy a house; we support many things, such as kids, fixing up a house and finding shops. They come to us for support.” She said she has received requests from Chinese clients looking to buy houses for cash. These customers hope to immigrate to the U.S. for their children’s education or to protect their assets, even though they may not be fluent in English.

According to the Selig Center for Economic Growth at the University of Georgia, the purchasing power of Asians in the U.S. totaled $770 billion as of 2014 — 19th in the world if compared with gross domestic product data — larger than Saudi Arabia and Switzerland. One estimate by Selig showed that their purchasing power will continue to expand and top $1 trillion in 2019. The increase in the number of Asians, who are relatively young and wealthy, might serve as a tailwind for the U.S. economy, which has been struggling with the aftereffects of the financial crisis and its aging population.

A huge crowd cheers Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi at Madison Square Garden in New York on Sept. 28, 2014.© Reuters

Meanwhile, the higher Asians’ economic status becomes, the bigger say they have in the country. In September 2014, about 19,000 people reportedly gathered at Madison Square Garden in New York to show their support for Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi during his first visit to the U.S. since taking office. The Indian group that organized the event claimed it was the largest ever in the U.S. to welcome a foreign leader. MR Rangaswami, an Indian investor who participated in the event, said, “That was a big milestone event that the community can look back on and feel proud.” He is also involved in lobbying and takes as an example Jewish-Americans. By learning about their political and charity activities, he tries to boost the recognition of the Indian-American community in the U.S. as well as the national interests of India. Lobbying campaigns by Indian residents were also the driving force behind the U.S.-India Civil Nuclear Agreement, which took effect in 2008.

Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal formally announces his campaign for the 2016 Republican presidential nomination in Kenner, Louisiana, on June 24. © Reuters

“My dad told me as a young kid that Americans can do anything. I believed him then, and I believe it now,” said Bobby Jindal, the Republican governor of Louisiana. On June 24, he announced his candidacy for the presidential race in 2016, becoming the first Indian-American to become a major contender. Nikki Haley, the Republican governor of South Carolina and another Indian-American, is also mentioned as a vice-presidential candidate. In the not-too-distant future, an Asian American may become the most powerful person in the U.S.

 

Nikkei staff writers Tomoko Ashizuka, Michiko Kageyama in New York and Yuichiro Kanematsu in Silicon Valley contributed to this story.

March.2015, The Year of the Chinese Investor

2015年3月,中国投资者的一年

YOchina

March 03, 2015 10:45AM   The Real Deal
By E.B. Solomont

– See more at: http://therealdeal.com/issues_articles/the-year-of-the-chinese-investor/

For more than two decades, China’s most populated city, Shanghai, has experienced a building frenzy unlike any other: Developers have built office buildings in the city of 24 million as far as the eye can see, including skyscrapers like the under-construction Shanghai Tower, one of the tallest in the world.

But increasingly, Chinese developers and investors are looking elsewhere to build. And a fast-growing number are setting their eyes on New York.

Chinese investors pumped more than $3 billion into the New York real estate market last year. That was nearly 43 percent more than they invested in 2013. And it appears to just be the tip of the iceberg.

With China’s economy cooling, investors are throwing their money into deals in New York. And it’s not just individual Chinese buyers snapping up condo units these days. Institutional players, investors and developers, who’ve made a splash buying trophy buildings over the past two years, are not only continuing to ramp up purchases, but also are accelerating their involvement in condo development and looking for developable New York land.

“There’s a whole lot of capital in Asia that wants to be invested [here],” said Kevin Swill, chief operating officer of the New York-based Carlton Group, a real estate investment banking firm. “They look to the U.S., even with ups and downs, and it’s still the most stable real estate market in the world.” …..

 

Dec. 2014, Patty Chen Celebrated Christmas and New Year with Entrepreneurs in Beijing of China

2014年 12月,  艺平与企业家在中国北京庆祝圣诞节和新年

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